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¾ÞÄ¿:¹Ì±¹ÀÇ ±¹Á¦ ¾Èº¸ Àü¹®°¡µéÀÌ ¡®ÃÖ±Ù Çѱ¹ÀÌ ÀÚü ÇÙº¸À¯¿¡ °ü½ÉÀ» °®´Â °ÍÀº Çö½ÇÀûÀÎ °í¹Î¡¯À̶ó°í ÁöÀûÇß½À´Ï´Ù. 11ÀÏ À±¼®¿­ Çѱ¹ ´ëÅë·ÉÀÌ °ü·Ã ¾ð±ÞÀ» Çϸ鼭 ³ª¿Â À̾߱âÀä. ÀÌ¿¡ ´ëÇØ ¹Ì ±¹¹«ºÎ´Â ¡®¹Ì±¹°ú Çѱ¹Àº Çѹݵµ ºñÇÙÈ­¸¦ °è¼Ó Ãß±¸ÇÑ´Ù¡¯´Â ÀÔÀåÀÔ´Ï´Ù. ½ÉÀçÈÆ ±âÀÚ°¡ º¸µµÇÕ´Ï´Ù.
  
  11ÀÏ Çѱ¹ À±¼®¿­ ´ëÅë·ÉÀº ±¹¹æºÎ¡¤¿Ü±³ºÎ ¾÷¹«º¸°í¸¦ ¹Þ´Â ÀÚ¸®¿¡¼­ ÀÚü ÇÙ¹«Àå °ü·Ã ¾ð±ÞÀ» Çß½À´Ï´Ù. ºÏÇÑ ÇÙ ¹®Á¦°¡ ½É°¢ÇØÁö¸é ¡®Çѱ¹¿¡ Àü¼ú ÇÙ¹èÄ¡¸¦ ÇÑ´ÙµçÁö ¿ì¸® ÀÚ½ÅÀÌ ÀÚü ÇÙÀ» º¸À¯ÇÒ ¼öµµ ÀÖ´Ù¡¯´Â ¹ß¾ðÀÔ´Ï´Ù.
  
  ´ÙÀ½³¯ÀÎ 12ÀÏ Çѱ¹ ´ëÅë·É½ÇÀº À± ´ëÅë·ÉÀÌ ºÏÇÙ À§Çù¿¡ ´ÜÈ£ÇÏ°Ô ´ëÀÀÇØ¾ß ÇÑ´Ù´Â ¿ø·ÐÀûÀÎ ÀÔÀåÀ» ¸»ÇÑ °ÍÀ̶ó¸ç ÇÙ¹«±âÀüÆĹæÁöÁ¶¾à(NPT) üÁ¦¸¦ ÁؼöÇÑ´Ù´Â ¿øÄ¢¿¡´Â º¯ÇÔÀÌ ¾ø´Ù°í °øÁöÇß½À´Ï´Ù.
  
  ÀÌ¿Í °ü·ÃÇØ ¹Ì±¹ Ææ½Çº£À̴ϾƴëÇÐ ¾Æ´õ ¿Ðµç(Arthur Waldron) ±¹Á¦°ü°èÇÐ ±³¼ö´Â 13ÀÏ ÀÚÀ¯¾Æ½Ã¾Æ¹æ¼Û(RFA)¿¡ ÀÚ½ÅÀº Çѱ¹ÀÇ ÀÚü ÇÙ¹«ÀåÀ» Âù¼ºÇÑ´Ù¸ç ÇÙ¹«ÀåÀ» Çϸ鼭 µ¿½Ã¿¡ ÀϺ» µî ´Ù¸¥ ¹ÎÁÖÁÖÀÇ ±¹°¡µé°ú ´õ¿í ±ä¹ÐÇÑ µ¿¸ÍÀ» ¸Î¾î¾ß ÇÑ´Ù°í ¹àÇû½À´Ï´Ù. (I am in favor. Alongside must go tighter alliance with Japan and other democracies.)
  
  ¹Ì ´ÙÆ®¸Ó½º´ëÇÐ ±¹Á¦ ¾Èº¸ ¿¬±¸¼Ò(Institute for Global Security) Ã¥ÀÓÀÚ¸¦ ¸Ã°í ÀÖ´Â ´Ù¸± ÇÁ·¹½º(Daryl G. Press) ±³¼öµµ 13ÀÏ ÀÚÀ¯¾Æ½Ã¾Æ¹æ¼Û(RFA)¿¡ Çѱ¹ÀÌ µ¶ÀÚÀûÀÎ ÇÙ ´É·ÂÀ» º¸À¯Çϱâ·Î ¼±ÅÃÇÒ °æ¿ì ¿Ü±³Àû ³ë·ÂÀÌ Áß¿äÇÏ´Ù°í °­Á¶Çß½À´Ï´Ù.
  
  ±×´Â Çѱ¹ Á¤ºÎ°¡ µ¿¸Í±¹µé¿¡ ¡°Çѱ¹Àº Çѹݵµ ºñÇÙÈ­¸¦ ¿øÇÏÁö¸¸, ºÏÇÑÀÇ ºÒ¹ýÀûÀÎ Çൿ ¶§¹®¿¡ ÀÌ·± Á¤Ã¥À» äÅÃÇÑ °Í¡±À̶ó°í ¼³¸íÇØ¾ß ÇÑ´Ù°í ¹àÇû½À´Ï´Ù. (It would require a major diplomatic campaign to explain to South Korea¡¯s partners and allies that South Korea prefers a denuclearized Korean Peninsula and only adopts this policy because of North Korea¡¯s illegal behavior.)
  
  ´Ù¸± ÇÁ·¹½º ±³¼ö´Â ÀÌ·¸°Ô Çѱ¹¿¡¼­ ÀÚü ÇÙ º¸À¯¿¡ °üÇÑ ¸»ÀÌ ¿À°¡´Â °ÍÀº Çö½ÇÀûÀÎ °í¹ÎÀ̶ó°í Æò°¡Çß½À´Ï´Ù. ±×´Â ¡°ºÏÇÑÀÌ ÇÙ¹«±â·Î ¹Ì±¹À» Ÿ°ÝÇÒ ¼ö ÀÖ´Â ´É·ÂÀ» °®°Ô µÇ¸é¼­, ¹Ì±¹ÀÌ Çѱ¹¿¡ ÇÙ¿ì»ê ¾à¼ÓÀ» ÁöųÁö¿¡ ´ëÇØ Çѱ¹ ÁöµµÀÚµéÀÌ °ÆÁ¤ÇÏ´Â °ÍÀº ¿Ç´Ù¡±¸ç ¡°ÇÙ¿ì»ê ½Å·Úµµ ¹®Á¦´Â Çö½ÇÀÌ°í, ÀÌ·± ¿ì·Á´Â Ä¿Áö°í ÀÖ´Ù¡±°í ÁöÀûÇß½À´Ï´Ù. (As North Korea acquires the ability to strike the United States with nuclear weapons, leaders in Seoul are correct to worry about the US willingness to keep its nuclear promises to South Korea. The credibility problem at the core of the US nuclear commitment is real and growing.)
  
  ±×·¯¸é¼­, Çѱ¹ÀÌ ¿©·¯°¡Áö ¼±ÅÃÁö °¡¿îµ¥ Çϳª¸¦ ¼±ÅÃÇØ¾ß ÇÒ °ÍÀ̶ó¸ç ÇÙ¿ì»ê ½Å·Ú°¡ ÁÙ¾îµé°í Àִµ¥µµ ºÒ±¸ÇÏ°í °è¼Ó ¹Ì±¹ÀÇ È®Àå ¾ïÁ¦¸¦ ÀÇÁ¸ÇÒÁö, ¾Æ´Ï¸é ¹Ì±¹ ÇÙ¹«±â¸¦ Çѱ¹¿¡ ¹èÄ¡Çϵµ·Ï ¿äûÇÒÁö, ¹Ì±¹ÀÌ ³ªÅä(ºÏ´ë¼­¾çÁ¶¾à±â±¸) ÆÄÆ®³Êµé°ú ¸ÎÀº °Íó·³ ÇÙ°øÀ¯¸¦ ÇÒÁö, NPT¿¡¼­ Å»ÅðÇØ Çѱ¹ÀÌ µ¶ÀÚÀûÀÎ ÇÙ ´É·ÂÀ» º¸À¯ÇÒÁö, ¿©·¯°¡Áö ¼±ÅÃÁö°¡ ÀÖ´Ù°í ¹àÇû½À´Ï´Ù. (Seoul could rely on the US extended deterrent despite its declining credibility; or it could request that the US redeploy nuclear weapons to Korean territory; or it could seek a ¡°Korean nuclear sharing¡± agreement, like the United States has with its NATO partners; or it could withdraw from the NPT and acquire an independent nuclear capability.)
  
  ´ÙÆ®¸Ó½º´ëÇÐÀÇ Á¦´ÏÆÛ ¸°µå(Jennifer Lind) Á¤ºÎÇÐ ±³¼öµµ 13ÀÏ ÀÚÀ¯¾Æ½Ã¾Æ¹æ¼Û(RFA)¿¡ Çѱ¹ÀÌ ÀÚüÀûÀ¸·Î ÇÙ¹«±â¸¦ º¸À¯ÇÏ·Á°í ÇÏ´Â °ÍÀ» ÀÌÇØÇÒ ¼ö ÀÖ´Ù°í ¹àÇû½À´Ï´Ù. ¸°µå ±³¼ö´Â ºÏÇÑÀÌ ¹Ì±¹±îÁö µµ´ÞÇÏ´Â ´ë·ú°£Åºµµ¹Ì»çÀÏ(ICBM)À» °³¹ßÇÏ´Â °ÍÀº ¹Ì±¹ÀÇ ºÎ´ãÀ» Áõ°¡½ÃŲ´Ù¸ç ¹Ì±¹ÀεéÀÌ ¹Þ¾ÆµéÀ̱⠾î·Á¿ï Á¤µµ·Î ºÎ´ã ¼öÁØÀÌ ¿Ã¶ó°¥ ¼ö ÀÖ´Ù°í ÁöÀûÇß½À´Ï´Ù. (North Korea¡¯s development of ICBMs that can reach the United States raises the costs of U.S. retaliation against North Korea to a level that Americans may decide is unacceptable.)
  
  ¹Ì±¹ÀÇ µµ½Ãµé, ¼ö¸¹Àº ¹Ì±¹ÀεéÀÇ »ý¸íÀÌ ºÏÇÑ ÇÙ°ø°Ý¿¡ ÀÇÇØ À§Çù¹Þ´Â »óȲ ¼Ó¿¡¼­µµ ¹Ì±¹ÀÌ °ú¿¬ Çѱ¹¿¡ ÇÙ¿ì»êÀ» Á¦°øÇÒ ¼ö ÀÖÀ»±î¿¡ ´ëÇØ Àǹ®À» Á¦±âÇÒ ¼ö ÀÖ´Ù°í Çß½À´Ï´Ù. (That is, we are talking about possible nuclear strikes against American cities with millions of people dead: meaning the end of the United States as we know it. So it¡¯s understandable that South Koreans are asking, can we continue to expect the United States to do this – can we continue to rely on the U.S. nuclear umbrella?)
  
  ÀÌ·¯ÇÑ ÀÇ°ß°ú °ü·ÃÇØ ¹Ì±¹ ±¹¹«ºÎ´Â 13ÀÏ ÀÚÀ¯¾Æ½Ã¾Æ¹æ¼Û(RFA)¿¡ ¹Ì±¹°ú Çѱ¹Àº ÇѹݵµÀÇ ¿ÏÀüÇÑ ºñÇÙÈ­¶ó´Â °øµ¿ÀÇ ¸ñÇ¥¸¦ °è¼Ó Ãß±¸ÇÏ°í ÀÖ´Ù¸ç Çѹݵµ ÇÙ À§ÇùÀ» ÁÙÀÌ´Â À¯ÀÏÇÏ°í È¿°úÀûÀÎ ¹æ¹ýÀº ÇÙ¹«±â È®»êÀ» ¾ïÁ¦ÇÏ´Â °ÍÀ̶ó°í ¹àÇû½À´Ï´Ù. (The United States and the Republic of Korea continue to pursue the shared objective of the complete denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula. We believe that the only effective way to reduce nuclear threats on the Peninsula is by curbing the proliferation of nuclear weapons.)
  
  ±¹¹«ºÎ´Â ÀÌ ¹®Á¦¸¦ ³õ°í ºÏÇÑ°ú ÁøÁöÇÑ ´ëÈ­¸¦ Çϱâ À§ÇØ ºÏÇÑ¿¡ °è¼Ó ¿¬¶ôÀ» ÃëÇØ¿ÔÁö¸¸, ¾Æ¹«·± ÀÀ´äÀ» ¹ÞÁö ¸øÇß´Ù°í °Åµì ¹àÇû½À´Ï´Ù. (We have continued to reach out to the DPRK to engage in serious dialogue on this matter and have received no response.)
  
[ 2023-01-14, 18:58 ] Æ®À§ÅÍÆ®À§ÅÍ   ÆäÀ̽ººÏÆäÀ̽ººÏ   ³×À̹ö³×À̹ö
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